A new poll was released by SES which puts the federal party standings as follows:
Lib: 33, Con: 33, NDP: 17, Bloc: 10, Green: 7
This poll demonstrates some interesting results which blog pundits everywhere are interpreting in a variety of manners which I feel are important to correct with the Paulitics rolling and weighted average long-term trend lines.
#1) Steve V from Far and Wide writes (here) that, with this poll, Dion’s honeymoon is over. Actually, the polling trend lines suggest that Dion’s honeymoon was over a month ago in mid-January.
#2) Lizt on Scott Tribe’s website (here) comments (in retort to somebody who presented my polling data) that SES is the most accurate polling firm. Lizt is correct, SES would appear to be the closest single polling firm, but that said, a multiple aggregate of polls is far mroe accurate than even the most accurate polling firm.
In addition to these points, I feel that a significant feature of this poll is the continued resurgence of the NDP from their absolutely dismal low in mid-december 2006. They’re still nowhere near where they once were, but the NDP is once again on the rise.
So, with this poll, the Paulitics Polling Resource two trendlines are as follows: