Paulitics resource

Projection model & election forecaster

Paulitics is proud to present the free, downloadable Paulitics Projection Model.

Paulitics was the #1 most accurate election forecaster for the 2007 Ontario Provincial election and the Paulitics Projection Model was able to accurately predict 96% of all 2008 federal election results*.  This powerful tool is now available at your finger tips for free.

You may download it by clicking the button below.

Please note: Once you download the document, you will see a prompt asking you whether you would like to allow “macros” or not.  You must click “allow macros” for the program to work.

download

This program operates on Microsoft Excel.  It has been tested and proven to work on Microsoft Excel 2003 and Microsoft Excel 2007 (for Windows Vista).  The program should work on earlier versions of Excel, but it has not been tested on these earlier versions.  If you have any questions or problems running the program, please feel free to post a comment below.

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*Based on entering the 2008 election result data into the 2006 projection model.

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7 Responses to “Canadian Federal Election Projection model”


  1. 1 loyalsubjectofhermajesty 21 July, 2009 at 7:44 pm

    Great model. Well done!

  2. 2 Joe 29 August, 2009 at 3:58 pm

    I can get the predictor to download. It just pops up with the mediafire homepage. What am I doing wrong here?

  3. 4 Freddy Hutter, TrendLines Research 6 September, 2009 at 12:15 am

    Paul, we’re updating the 2009 Cndn projections this weekend. Do u have any July results from your new Projection model for our compilation average?

  4. 5 Freddy Hutter, TrendLines Research 11 September, 2009 at 8:32 pm

    Hi Paul, we are gearing up for a possible Autumn Election. As u are aware, we’ve been including your numbers in our monthly tally, but in the course of due diligence, i must ask for your name, address & phone to be included in our 2009 Election coverage. Due to your chosen anonymous profile at your blog, we undertake to keep this information confidential … unless we receive your authorization to use your name on our Canadian web page.

  5. 6 Maxime HL 16 September, 2009 at 8:29 pm

    Hi,

    I downloaded your model and find it interesting. However, for the sake of understanding, I would appreciate it if you could explain to me, maybe via e-mail, the difference between a geometric simulation and an arithmetic simulation.

    Thank you

    Maxime


  1. 1 Rumours of the Conservatives’ death in Québec have been greatly exaggerated « Paulitics Trackback on 21 August, 2009 at 4:31 pm

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